+++ 19. März 2010 +++
Santander and Spanish Banks Blowing out
Banco Santander, nominally of Spain, claims to have one of the lowest rates of non-performing loans (NPL) among banks anywhere in the world. What they don't report, however, is that they come up with the figures through sleight-of-hand and manipulations, especially on the utterly bankrupt Spanish real estate market.
The real picture, as opposed to that reported, includes: a) official foreclosures, which are included in official NPLs (which were at 3.4% for Santander in 2009, up from 2.0% a year earlier); b) loans non-performing for more than 3-6 months, i.e. that are in de facto default, but which have not been called by the banks, and therefore don't go on the books as NPLs; and c) properties bought up by the banks themselves from defaulting owners, again just to keep them off the books as defaulted. This latter category is huge in Spain, constituting an entire "shadow inventory."
One investment analyst from the French firm Cheuvreux estimates that total Spanish bank NPLs are actually 9%, twice the officially reported level of 4.5%. But it could just as easily be 3-4 times that - not to mention the bankrupt derivatives piled on top of the original mortgages.
As result, in 2009, Spanish banks reduced their lending to companies by 38% and to households by 32%.
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